September 1, 2026

Northwest Montana Big Game Forecast (Region 1)

Northwest Montana Big Game Forecast (Region 1)

REGION 1

Big game survival and recruitment in northwest Montana was good the last three winters, especially for elk and deer. Winter temperatures and snow conditions were generally mild and the high harvest on wolves and lions resulted in favorable conditions for fawn and calf survival.

Four big game check stations will be open in Region 1 on weekends during the general season…

Elk

Elk

Calf survival and recruitment in the Clark Fork Drainage (Thompson Falls to Noxon area) averaged 32 calves per 100 cows in 2026 spring surveys. This is similar to what was observed last year and indicative of a moderately…


White-tailed Deer

White-tailed Deer

White-tailed deer numbers in northwest Montana should continue to increase this year due to a mild winter and good fawn survival and recruitment observed during spring surveys. Wildlife biologists observed whitetail recruitment, ranging…


Mule Deer

Mule Deer

The mild winter of 2025/26 resulted in good fawn survival based on aerial surveys in HD 103 (Fisher River) and ground surveys in HD 101 (Galton Range). These surveys resulted in 41 fawns per 100 adults and 39 fawns per 100 adults…


Moose

Moose

Moose populations in the region appear to be stable in much of northwest Montana, based on past research and hunter harvest metrics. Overall numbers are below historic highs, and the…

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Region 2

REGION 2

Staff in Region 2 anticipate better than average hunting opportunities for the upcoming fall hunting season. Western Montana had a very mild winter in 2025-2026, on the heels of two previous mild winters. The winter was abnormally dry, but early summer conditions provided some needed moisture, which should benefit animals heading into the fall. During spring surveys, biologists observed good recruitment for both deer and elk, and overall counts are trending upward in several areas, especially in the Upper Clark Fork.

Elk

Elk

Some hunting season changes for 2026 include a new bull permit (250-26) in HD 250 only valid during rifle season (quota = 45), an extension of the 262-01 B license to Jan. 8 in HD 262, increased quotas for elk B 210-03 (500) and 211-00 (150), and an added restriction to elk B…


White-tailed Deer

White-tailed Deer

White-tailed deer numbers are generally stable to increasing across the region. Region 2 continues to be a popular place to hunt white-tailed deer in Montana, contributing an average of 15 percent of the statewide harvest since 2004. Antlered harvest was above the…


Mule Deer

Mule Deer

Opportunities to hunt mule deer are somewhat limited in western Montana. Several districts require a permit to harvest a buck, awarded through the statewide application process that happened earlier this year. For the third season, several hunting districts allow mule deer buck harvest on…


Pronghorn

Pronghorn

There are only a few antelope hunting opportunities in western Montana. Antelope numbers in HD 215 were up from last year but still down from the long-term average. FWP did not observe any antelope in HD 291 during…

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Region 3

REGION 3

Hunter harvest last year was limited because unseasonably warm weather kept wildlife at high elevations in many areas. The winter of 2025-26 was exceptionally mild as well, and 2026 saw favorable spring and summer precipitation in some areas. These factors contributed to good overwinter survival and higher-than-average recruitment of calves and fawns into most elk and deer populations in southwestern Montana. Overall elk counts in some districts were well above average. Hunters may benefit from these strong wildlife populations. But hunter success will again depend heavily on weather, which is the primary catalyst for wildlife migrations into areas more accessible to hunters.

Elk

Elk

In the Livingston area, a very mild 2025-26 winter prevented most elk surveys from being conducted. However, overwinter survival is expected to have been strong, and elk populations in the area remain robust. Elk populations were within objective for HDs 314…


Mule Deer

Mule Deer

In the Livingston area, mild early-winter conditions prevented post-season mule deer surveys on the Brackett Creek and Gardiner Basin trend areas following the 2025 hunting season, though total deer numbers were increased during a spring survey…


White-tailed Deer

White-tailed Deer

White-tailed deer can be found in some pockets of public land or private lands enrolled in Block Management in the Livingston area. However, most opportunity for harvest occurs on private lands where hunter access varies across…


Pronghorn

Pronghorn

Pronghorn populations in the Livingston area are still recovering from a series of drought conditions and the harsh winter of 2022-23. HDs 313, 317 and 339 were surveyed in late July. License quotas in HD 313, 338 and 339…

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Region 4

REGION 4

Big game species across most of FWP’s Region 4 came out of the 2025–26 winter in good condition, with strong overwinter survival rates for not only adults but also the fawns and calves born in 2025. During the winter and spring, much of the region was experiencing a continuance of the moderate to severe drought that reduced habitat quality, but timely and abundant rainfall in late spring and early summer rapidly and significantly improved forage and overall habitat conditions. As a result, deer, elk and pronghorn are entering the critical fall and winter period of 2026 in very good body condition for the first time in the past several years. This turnaround gives wildlife managers optimism, and barring a particularly harsh winter, they anticipate strong fawn and calf production next year – setting the stage for improved hunter success and big game populations in the seasons ahead.

Elk

Elk

Elk numbers in Region 4 are very strong and generally meet or exceed population objectives in all districts, but the distribution of elk on the landscape varies widely. Many elk concentrate in large numbers on private lands which offer limited or no public access, while nearby…


Mule Deer

Mule Deer

Hunters can expect to find that mule deer numbers will vary widely across Region 4 this year, due in large part to the great diversity of landscape and habitat types found in the region. In some areas, especially those with substantial agricultural ground, hunters can expect moderate to strong…


White-tailed Deer

White-tailed Deer

Whitetail populations remain strong across most of Region 4. Although in a few localized areas, outbreaks of epizootic hemorrhagic disease (EHD) in late summer of 2025 had moderate to severe impacts on whitetail populations…


Pronghorn

Pronghorn

Primarily due to several years of severe drought conditions, pronghorn populations in western parts of Region 4 entered last winter in less-than-ideal body condition, which led to poor fawn production in the spring of 2026 and low fawn numbers at the present time. As a result of data gathered during…

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Region 5

REGION 5

South-central Montana

Above-average summer temperatures and below-average precipitation across most of the region have resulted in reduced forage for wildlife going into late summer. However, following a mild winter, mule deer fawn recruitment improved in some south-central Montana hunting districts.

Elk

Elk

Elk are abundant in Region 5. Surveys this year again showed stable to slightly increasing herd sizes. The majority of elk are observed on private land where gaining hunting access may be difficult.


Mule Deer

Mule Deer

Mule deer numbers in central and eastern parts of Region 5 are near or above long-term average. Mule deer numbers on trend areas in the remainder of the region range from 30 percent to more than 60 percent below long-term…


White-tailed Deer

White-tailed Deer

White-tailed deer numbers across the region have improved slightly, however, many areas continue to have counts below the long-term average.


Pronghorn

Pronghorn

Generally, pronghorn numbers across the region are showing declines from the previous year. FWP has adjusted licenses to reflect these declines. This season, antelope either-sex licenses 516-20 decreased from 700 to 550, license 526-20…

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Region 6

REGION 6

Several years of extreme drought and the long winter in 2022-23 reduced deer and elk populations in most areas of northeast Montana. FWP adjusted license quotas in many districts as needed, and many districts are at their lowest quota level for antlerless mule deer and elk.

The last three winters were mild, however, and more precipitation has improved habitat conditions in much of the region, resulting in improving trends for most big game populations.

Elk

Elk

Surveys conducted in 2026 in the Missouri River Breaks showed elk numbers about 22 percent lower than the last survey in 2024 and 65 percent below long-term averages. In reaction to decreasing elk populations in recent years…


Mule Deer

Mule Deer

Mule deer densities in all 11 deer trend areas this spring indicated an increase of 32 percent from 2025 and overall were slightly above the long-term average. Region-wide fawn to adult ratios show a slight increase from 2025 surveys…


White-tailed Deer

White-tailed Deer

White-tailed deer densities observed during surveys in the late winter of 2026 are 56 percent below the long-term average across the region. Populations are still recovering along the Milk River between Nashua and Harlem due to..


Pronghorn

Pronghorn

In general, pronghorn populations have increased during the past decade in Region 6. Total pronghorn numbers across the region during summer surveys increased for the third year in a row and were 36 percent above the long-term average…

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Region 7

REGION 7

Habitat conditions in much of southeastern Montana are considerably better than a couple years ago, when the landscape was severely impacted by drought. However, there was very little snow this past winter, which resulted in low winter mortality for many wildlife species but conversely results in very little moisture going into the spring. Much of the region received early summer rainfall this year, which improved habitat conditions across much of the region. But July was extremely hot and dry, which has deteriorated habitat conditions.

Elk

Elk

The two core elk populations in the region remain in hunting district (HD) 700 and the Southeastern Montana Elk Management Unit (HDs 702, 704, 705). Access remains challenging, especially in HD 702, where most of the elk…


Mule Deer

Mule Deer

Mule deer numbers improved by 15 percent from 2025 and are currently approximately 17 percent below the long-term average across Region 7. The region-wide adult: fawn ratio was 55 fawns per 100 adults, indicating favorable…


White-tailed Deer

White-tailed Deer

White-tailed deer numbers continue to vary across the region. Limited winter snowfall resulted in relatively low winter mortality, while early-summer rainfall improved vegetation and forage conditions across much of the region. These…


Pronghorn

Pronghorn

This summer, biologists observed strong antelope numbers in southeast Montana. The 2026 aerial counts were the highest since 2006 and were 27 percent above last year 69 percent above the 10-year average and 51 percent above average…

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